Blind defense vs a steal

The blinds are forced money. When it folds to a late-position raiser trying to steal them — a wide open made largely to win the blinds uncontested — the big blind isn't investing fresh chips; it's deciding whether to defend chips it already posted. That posted blind is a discount no other seat gets, which is why blind-defense ranges are the widest calling ranges in preflop poker.

You defend two ways: call to see a flop with a wide, capped range, or 3-bet to seize the initiative and deny the raiser a cheap look. How much you defend scales with how wide the opener's range is. Against the button — the widest steal, facing the fewest players left behind it — you defend enormously; against an under-the-gun open, a range packed with real strength, you defend far less. This app's charts show exactly that gap: the big blind defends 41% of hands versus a button open (vsrfi:BB:vs:BTN) but only 16% versus UTG (vsrfi:BB:vs:UTG) — read live, combo-weighted, from the two nodes.

The price is what makes those wide ranges profitable. Against a 2bb button open with standard 0.5/1 blinds, the pot already holds about 3.5bb and it costs you just 1.0bb more to call — roughly 3.5:1, so you only need about 22% equity to break even. A huge slice of hands clears that bar against the button's wide stealing range, which is why folding the big blind too often is one of the most common — and most expensive — leaks in the game.

Price isn't the whole story. You play every one of these pots out of position, so you convert less of your raw equity to chips than the odds suggest (the Equity realization topic makes this precise). That poor realization is the counterweight to the discount: it's why marginal hands that could flat in position are often better as a 3-bet-or-fold here, and why the big blind still folds its worst hands even at 3.5:1.

Big blind vs a button open

The button raised and folded to you in the big blind, reading vsrfi:BB:vs:BTN. Every coloured cell is part of the defending range — call plus 3-bet — and only the grey cells fold. Notice how little of the grid is grey: the discount buys a very wide defense.

AA
AKs
AQs
AJs
ATs
A9s
A8s
A7s
A6s
A5s
A4s
A3s
A2s
AKo
KK
KQs
KJs
KTs
K9s
K8s
K7s
K6s
K5s
K4s
K3s
K2s
AQo
KQo
QQ
QJs
QTs
Q9s
Q8s
Q7s
Q6s
Q5s
Q4s
Q3s
Q2s
AJo
KJo
QJo
JJ
JTs
J9s
J8s
J7s
J6s
J5s
J4s
J3s
J2s
ATo
KTo
QTo
JTo
TT
T9s
T8s
T7s
T6s
T5s
T4s
T3s
T2s
A9o
K9o
Q9o
J9o
T9o
99
98s
97s
96s
95s
94s
93s
92s
A8o
K8o
Q8o
J8o
T8o
98o
88
87s
86s
85s
84s
83s
82s
A7o
K7o
Q7o
J7o
T7o
97o
87o
77
76s
75s
74s
73s
72s
A6o
K6o
Q6o
J6o
T6o
96o
86o
76o
66
65s
64s
63s
62s
A5o
K5o
Q5o
J5o
T5o
95o
85o
75o
65o
55
54s
53s
52s
A4o
K4o
Q4o
J4o
T4o
94o
84o
74o
64o
54o
44
43s
42s
A3o
K3o
Q3o
J3o
T3o
93o
83o
73o
63o
53o
43o
33
32s
A2o
K2o
Q2o
J2o
T2o
92o
82o
72o
62o
52o
42o
32o
22
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